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Posted June 24, 2013

Chicago Fed National Activity Index rises

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to –0.30 in May from –0.52 in April.


Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from April, but only one of the four categories made a positive contribution to the index in May.

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.43 in May from –0.13 in April, marking its third consecutive reading below zero and its lowest level since October 2012. May’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over the coming year

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